If asteroid 2024 YR4 strikes the Moon in 2032 at a favorable location, lunar ejecta could deliver 10 to 1000 times the normal meteoroid flux at satellite-damaging sizes for a few days.
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The Potential Danger to Satellites due to Ejecta from a 2032 Lunar Impact by Asteroid 2024 YR4
If asteroid 2024 YR4 strikes the Moon in 2032 at a favorable location, lunar ejecta could deliver 10 to 1000 times the normal meteoroid flux at satellite-damaging sizes for a few days.