A new framework integrates data assimilation and information-theoretic diagnostics to identify latent precursors, pathways, and mechanisms of extreme events in partially observed stochastic dynamical systems.
Detecting and attributing change in climate and complex systems: Foundations, Green’s functions, and nonlinear fingerprints.Physical Review Letters, 133(24):244201
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Mechanisms and Pathways of Extreme Events in Partially-Observed Stochastic Dynamical Systems
A new framework integrates data assimilation and information-theoretic diagnostics to identify latent precursors, pathways, and mechanisms of extreme events in partially observed stochastic dynamical systems.