Factorized sequential Bayesian updates on correlated pseudo-data produce systematic deviations from the joint posterior that increase with correlation strength, while exact conditional-likelihood updates match the joint result; an information decomposition attributes the mismatch to parameter-tuned,
Mankolli, et al., Longitudinal Dynamics of Large and Small Sys- tems from a 3D Bayesian Calibration of RHIC Top-energy Collision DataarXiv:2601.17234
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Sequential Bayesian inference with correlated heavy-ion datasets
Factorized sequential Bayesian updates on correlated pseudo-data produce systematic deviations from the joint posterior that increase with correlation strength, while exact conditional-likelihood updates match the joint result; an information decomposition attributes the mismatch to parameter-tuned,