Market-calibrated Weibull AFT model for in-play football forecasting nearly matches Betfair accuracy (70.2% vs 70.6%) and produces 4.5% ROI in simulation against in-play odds.
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A market-calibrated accelerated failure time model for in-play football forecasting
Market-calibrated Weibull AFT model for in-play football forecasting nearly matches Betfair accuracy (70.2% vs 70.6%) and produces 4.5% ROI in simulation against in-play odds.