HAPS constructs shorter conformal prediction sets for censored time-to-event outcomes by using time-varying covariate histories and IPCW, achieving approximate coverage among survivors with up to 75% shorter intervals in simulations.
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology , volume=
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Trimming helps conformal prediction under contamination precisely when the anomaly score separates retention probabilities without biasing clean scores, otherwise the retained mixture coefficient prevents substantial decontamination.
C-SymmPI reformulates conditional coverage as miscoverage error over a user-specified function class to deliver near-conditional guarantees under group symmetries and distributional invariance.
Clipped least-squares importance fitting enables weighted conformal prediction to achieve dataset-conditional coverage guarantees under unbounded covariate shifts by bounding undercoverage and estimating a corrective inflation factor from data.
citing papers explorer
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History-Aware Conformal Prediction Sets for Censored Time-to-Event Outcomes
HAPS constructs shorter conformal prediction sets for censored time-to-event outcomes by using time-varying covariate histories and IPCW, achieving approximate coverage among survivors with up to 75% shorter intervals in simulations.
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When Does Trimming Help Conformal Prediction? A Retained-Law Diagnostic under Calibration Contamination
Trimming helps conformal prediction under contamination precisely when the anomaly score separates retention probabilities without biasing clean scores, otherwise the retained mixture coefficient prevents substantial decontamination.
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Conditional Predictive Inference for General Structured Data with Group Symmetries
C-SymmPI reformulates conditional coverage as miscoverage error over a user-specified function class to deliver near-conditional guarantees under group symmetries and distributional invariance.
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Weight Clipping for Robust Conformal Inference under Unbounded Covariate Shifts
Clipped least-squares importance fitting enables weighted conformal prediction to achieve dataset-conditional coverage guarantees under unbounded covariate shifts by bounding undercoverage and estimating a corrective inflation factor from data.