FutureSim is a benchmark that replays real news from January to March 2026 for AI agents to forecast events, with top accuracy at 25% and some agents worse than no-prediction baselines on Brier skill score.
Figure 12. Response profiles of a ‘state exploration’, ‘parameter exploration’ and ‘random exploration’ agent in a task that requires learning or inference.
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FutureSim: Replaying World Events to Evaluate Adaptive Agents
FutureSim is a benchmark that replays real news from January to March 2026 for AI agents to forecast events, with top accuracy at 25% and some agents worse than no-prediction baselines on Brier skill score.