An auto-ARIMA analysis of Banda Aceh rice prices selects MA(5) models whose forecasts dip for five days and then hold constant, but that plateau is a mathematical property of MA(5), and the models are non-invertible.
Upaya Wilayatulhisbah (wh) Kotabanda Aceh Dalammeningkatkankesadaran Bersyariat Islambagiremaja Dikotabanda Aceh,
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Forecasting the Price of Rice in Banda Aceh after Covid-19
An auto-ARIMA analysis of Banda Aceh rice prices selects MA(5) models whose forecasts dip for five days and then hold constant, but that plateau is a mathematical property of MA(5), and the models are non-invertible.