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2026 1

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Risk in a Data-Rich Model

econ.EM · 2026-08-06 · conditional · novelty 6.0

A dynamic factor model with endogenous stochastic volatility shows that common macroeconomic factors with shifting volatility, combined with heterogeneous sector exposures, explain over half of the cross-sectional variation in asymmetric tail risk across 116 U.S. variables.

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  • Risk in a Data-Rich Model econ.EM · 2026-08-06 · conditional · none · ref 1

    A dynamic factor model with endogenous stochastic volatility shows that common macroeconomic factors with shifting volatility, combined with heterogeneous sector exposures, explain over half of the cross-sectional variation in asymmetric tail risk across 116 U.S. variables.