Online conformal prediction post-processing guarantees calibrated uncertainty coverage for GenCast, NeuralGCM, and AIFS-ENS forecasts of temperature and precipitation including extremes.
Watt-Meyer, B
3 Pith papers cite this work, alongside 3 external citations. Polarity classification is still indexing.
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2026 3representative citing papers
A discrete-time energy-conserving neural map with FDT-derived causal regularization reproduces stationary statistics and forced responses of CdV and Lorenz-96 turbulence from unperturbed data alone.
DroughtFormer predicts soil moisture, vegetation health, and related variables in Africa with skill out to 90 days that matches or exceeds climatology for most targets, but shows lower accuracy for precipitation and flash drought indices.
citing papers explorer
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Rigorous uncertainty quantification of probabilistic AI weather forecasts with conformal prediction
Online conformal prediction post-processing guarantees calibrated uncertainty coverage for GenCast, NeuralGCM, and AIFS-ENS forecasts of temperature and precipitation including extremes.
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Physics constraints and response validation in discrete-time reduced-order modeling: from idealized turbulent systems to climate dynamics
A discrete-time energy-conserving neural map with FDT-derived causal regularization reproduces stationary statistics and forced responses of CdV and Lorenz-96 turbulence from unperturbed data alone.
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Prediction of Drought and Flash Drought in Africa at the Seasonal-to-Subseasonal Scale using the Community Research Earth Digital Intelligence Twin Framework
DroughtFormer predicts soil moisture, vegetation health, and related variables in Africa with skill out to 90 days that matches or exceeds climatology for most targets, but shows lower accuracy for precipitation and flash drought indices.