The paper introduces a penalized distributed lag non-linear Lee-Carter framework that adds temperature and influenza effects, negative binomial overdispersion, SARIMA dynamics, and copula dependence for improved regional weekly mortality forecasts on French data 1990-2019.
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A penalized distributed lag non-linear Lee-Carter framework for regional weekly mortality forecasting
The paper introduces a penalized distributed lag non-linear Lee-Carter framework that adds temperature and influenza effects, negative binomial overdispersion, SARIMA dynamics, and copula dependence for improved regional weekly mortality forecasts on French data 1990-2019.