IDOBE compiles over 10,000 epidemiological outbreaks into a public benchmark and shows that MLP-based models deliver the most robust short-term forecasts while statistical methods hold a slight edge pre-peak.
Permutation entropy: a natural complexity measure for time series.Physical review letters, 88(17):174102
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IDOBE: Infectious Disease Outbreak forecasting Benchmark Ecosystem
IDOBE compiles over 10,000 epidemiological outbreaks into a public benchmark and shows that MLP-based models deliver the most robust short-term forecasts while statistical methods hold a slight edge pre-peak.