A bare-bones cosmological model of artificial infection spread finds that spawn rates above roughly one per million galaxies at 0.1c would infect half the universe by today, tightening constraints on aggressive self-propagating technology.
Is Many Likelier than Few? A Critical Assessment of the Self-Indicating Assumption
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abstract
We analyze the arguments allegedly supporting the so-called Self-Indication Assumption (SIA), as an attempt to reject counterintuitive consequences of the Doomsday Argument of Carter, Leslie, Gott and others. Several arguments purportedly supporting this assumption are demonstrated to be either flawed or, at best, inconclusive. Therefore, no compelling reason for accepting SIA exists so far, and it should be regarded as an ad hoc hypothesis with several rather strange and implausible physical and epistemological consequences. Accordingly, if one wishes to reject the controversial consequences of the Doomsday Argument, a route different from SIA has to be found.
fields
astro-ph.CO 1years
2026 1verdicts
UNVERDICTED 1representative citing papers
citing papers explorer
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The Cosmological Hart-Tipler Conjecture
A bare-bones cosmological model of artificial infection spread finds that spawn rates above roughly one per million galaxies at 0.1c would infect half the universe by today, tightening constraints on aggressive self-propagating technology.