SIR models show transmission-reducing NPIs are more effective than contact-reducing ones at minimizing epidemic size when reproductive number effects are equal, and that minimizing the infection peak requires earlier NPI start than minimizing total epidemic size.
Barthélemy, A
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Analysis of non pharmaceutical interventions with SIR epidemic models: decreasing the infection peak vs. minimizing the epidemic size
SIR models show transmission-reducing NPIs are more effective than contact-reducing ones at minimizing epidemic size when reproductive number effects are equal, and that minimizing the infection peak requires earlier NPI start than minimizing total epidemic size.