For sequences with few differences, the posterior distribution of divergence time concentrates within a logarithmic factor of the p-distance under a broad class of dependent-site evolutionary models.
Molecular Biology and Evolution 12(3), 391–404 (1995)
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Posterior bounds on divergence time of two sequences under dependent-site evolutionary models
For sequences with few differences, the posterior distribution of divergence time concentrates within a logarithmic factor of the p-distance under a broad class of dependent-site evolutionary models.