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Econometrica 89, 4 (2021), 1557–1593

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Calibrated Forecasting and Persuasion

econ.TH · 2024-06-21 · unverdicted · novelty 6.0

For stationary ergodic processes the set of calibration-passing forecast distributions equals the mean-preserving contractions of the conditional distribution, allowing the dynamic game to be solved via static persuasion.

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  • Calibrated Forecasting and Persuasion econ.TH · 2024-06-21 · unverdicted · none · ref 18

    For stationary ergodic processes the set of calibration-passing forecast distributions equals the mean-preserving contractions of the conditional distribution, allowing the dynamic game to be solved via static persuasion.