A causal machine-learning model using variability features from Fermi-LAT light curves predicts blazar flare activity within 90 days with 86% recall on held-out data for one FSRQ.
G., Bazer-Bachi, A
7 Pith papers cite this work, alongside 816 external citations. Polarity classification is still indexing.
citation-role summary
citation-polarity summary
fields
astro-ph.HE 7years
2026 7representative citing papers
Energy-dependent polarization angle variability distinguishes reconnection from turbulence as the driver of blazar flares, with Mrk 421 and 1ES 1959+650 data favoring reconnection.
VLBI monitoring reveals a 21c apparent speed in TXS 0506+056, interpreted as evidence for a stratified jet with Gamma>20 spine that accounts for neutrino production and radio flare timing.
Simultaneous NICER+NuSTAR spectra of four TeV blazars show that 6 spectra require a blackbody component interpreted as accretion disk emission during low-flux states, plus Gaussian features at 1.4–1.7 keV in Mrk 421.
Hadronic SED modeling of 103 blazar candidates predicts proton synchrotron peaks in the MeV band for 99 sources and maximum neutrino fluxes detectable by up to 62 sources with next-generation telescopes.
First results from the SPOTS campaign reveal low average optical polarization (≲10%) and low magnetic field ordering (F_B ≲0.10) across 14 TeV blazars, with stochastic or rotating polarization angles and wavelength-dependent behavior indicating complex, turbulent jet structures.
citing papers explorer
-
Advance warning of $\gamma$-ray blazar flares from \textit{Fermi}-LAT light curves: a strictly causal machine-learning backtest
A causal machine-learning model using variability features from Fermi-LAT light curves predicts blazar flare activity within 90 days with 86% recall on held-out data for one FSRQ.
-
Energy-Dependent Polarization Angle Variability as a Robust Diagnostic for Blazar Flaring Mechanisms
Energy-dependent polarization angle variability distinguishes reconnection from turbulence as the driver of blazar flares, with Mrk 421 and 1ES 1959+650 data favoring reconnection.
-
A hidden ultra-relativistic spine in the jet of a neutrino-associated blazar
VLBI monitoring reveals a 21c apparent speed in TXS 0506+056, interpreted as evidence for a stratified jet with Gamma>20 spine that accounts for neutrino production and radio flare timing.
-
X-ray Spectral Properties of Four Classical TeV Blazars using Simultaneous Observations from NICER and NuSTAR
Simultaneous NICER+NuSTAR spectra of four TeV blazars show that 6 spectra require a blackbody component interpreted as accretion disk emission during low-flux states, plus Gaussian features at 1.4–1.7 keV in Mrk 421.
-
Chasing the neutrino blazar candidates II: SED modeling with hadronic model
Hadronic SED modeling of 103 blazar candidates predicts proton synchrotron peaks in the MeV band for 99 sources and maximum neutrino fluxes detectable by up to 62 sources with next-generation telescopes.
-
Spectro-Polarimetric Observations of TeV Sources (SPOTS): First results
First results from the SPOTS campaign reveal low average optical polarization (≲10%) and low magnetic field ordering (F_B ≲0.10) across 14 TeV blazars, with stochastic or rotating polarization angles and wavelength-dependent behavior indicating complex, turbulent jet structures.
- Detection of Quasiperiodic Oscillations in the Blazar PKS 0735+178 with TESS