A causal machine-learning model using variability features from Fermi-LAT light curves predicts blazar flare activity within 90 days with 86% recall on held-out data for one FSRQ.
D., & Schlickeiser, R
8 Pith papers cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
representative citing papers
Multimessenger observations and one-zone leptohadronic modeling of PKS 1725+123 during a flare constrain its emission to external Compton gamma-rays, SSC X-rays, and a neutrino rate of about 0.3 events per year peaking at 1 PeV.
Changing-look blazars occupy intermediate regions in gamma-ray and X-ray parameter spaces but lie statistically closer to flat-spectrum radio quasars than to BL Lac objects according to centroids, PCA, UMAP, and random-forest classification.
First results from the SPOTS campaign reveal low average optical polarization (≲10%) and low magnetic field ordering (F_B ≲0.10) across 14 TeV blazars, with stochastic or rotating polarization angles and wavelength-dependent behavior indicating complex, turbulent jet structures.
Estimates based on 17 years of Fermi LAT data indicate COSI may detect MeV polarization in a small number of blazar flares, with flat-spectrum radio quasars as the top targets.
Jet power estimates for FSRQs PKS 1441+25 and Ton 599 are insensitive to the choice of electron energy distribution model because of lower break energies and external Compton dominance.
A two-zone photohadronic model explains the 3 TeV peak-like feature in Markarian 501's 2014 VHE flare as a mild cutoff where the spectrum transitions from slow rise to faster fall.
Review of the scientific scope of the Africa Millimetre Telescope for mm-wave monitoring of active galactic nuclei.
citing papers explorer
-
Advance warning of $\gamma$-ray blazar flares from \textit{Fermi}-LAT light curves: a strictly causal machine-learning backtest
A causal machine-learning model using variability features from Fermi-LAT light curves predicts blazar flare activity within 90 days with 86% recall on held-out data for one FSRQ.
-
Zooming in on the GeV $\gamma$-ray flare of the blazar PKS 1725+123 with a multimessenger lens
Multimessenger observations and one-zone leptohadronic modeling of PKS 1725+123 during a flare constrain its emission to external Compton gamma-rays, SSC X-rays, and a neutrino rate of about 0.3 events per year peaking at 1 PeV.
-
Exploring the Transitional Parameter Space of Blazars using Gamma-ray and X-ray Population Diagnostics
Changing-look blazars occupy intermediate regions in gamma-ray and X-ray parameter spaces but lie statistically closer to flat-spectrum radio quasars than to BL Lac objects according to centroids, PCA, UMAP, and random-forest classification.
-
Spectro-Polarimetric Observations of TeV Sources (SPOTS): First results
First results from the SPOTS campaign reveal low average optical polarization (≲10%) and low magnetic field ordering (F_B ≲0.10) across 14 TeV blazars, with stochastic or rotating polarization angles and wavelength-dependent behavior indicating complex, turbulent jet structures.
-
Detectability of Polarized Gamma-ray Emission from Blazar Flares with COSI
Estimates based on 17 years of Fermi LAT data indicate COSI may detect MeV polarization in a small number of blazar flares, with flat-spectrum radio quasars as the top targets.
-
Jet Power Estimates of FSRQs PKS 1441+25 and Ton 599 from Broadband SED Modeling
Jet power estimates for FSRQs PKS 1441+25 and Ton 599 are insensitive to the choice of electron energy distribution model because of lower break energies and external Compton dominance.
-
Temporary EHBL-like behavior of Markarian 501 during July 2014 VHE flaring
A two-zone photohadronic model explains the 3 TeV peak-like feature in Markarian 501's 2014 VHE flare as a mild cutoff where the spectrum transitions from slow rise to faster fall.
-
Millimeter-wave Monitoring of Active Galactic Nuclei with the Africa Millimetre Telescope
Review of the scientific scope of the Africa Millimetre Telescope for mm-wave monitoring of active galactic nuclei.