EQMs, sixty LLM-scored reasoning patterns, predict forecast accuracy at both item and person levels and outperform prior text-analysis methods in a large pre-registered tournament dataset.
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4 Pith papers cite this work, alongside 10 external citations. Polarity classification is still indexing.
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In 50 LLM measurement tasks from 27 top-journal papers, LLM outputs are often central to claims yet validation is limited, mostly convergent, and frequently incomplete.
Zero-shot TSFMs conditioned on leakage-safe covariates from Google Trends and an institutional index forecast commencing enrolments competitively with classical methods under data sparsity.
Evaluation of FETCH shows low-cost LLMs suffice for legal classification but high-cost GPT-5 is required for effective follow-up questions, with uneven elicitation across categories including domestic violence.
citing papers explorer
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Measuring Judgment Quality in Natural-Language Explanations: Evidence from Forecasting Tournaments
EQMs, sixty LLM-scored reasoning patterns, predict forecast accuracy at both item and person levels and outperform prior text-analysis methods in a large pre-registered tournament dataset.
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Validating LLMs in social science: Epistemic threats and emerging norms
In 50 LLM measurement tasks from 27 top-journal papers, LLM outputs are often central to claims yet validation is limited, mostly convergent, and frequently incomplete.
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Forecasting Commencing Enrolments Under Data Sparsity: A Zero-Shot Time Series Foundation Models Framework for Higher Education Planning
Zero-shot TSFMs conditioned on leakage-safe covariates from Google Trends and an institutional index forecast commencing enrolments competitively with classical methods under data sparsity.
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On Wednesdays, We Ask Questions: Optimizing "Active Listening" in Automated Legal Triage and Referral
Evaluation of FETCH shows low-cost LLMs suffice for legal classification but high-cost GPT-5 is required for effective follow-up questions, with uneven elicitation across categories including domestic violence.