TimeMCL uses Winner-Takes-All training of multiple heads to quantize the conditional distribution of future time series, producing diverse forecasts at low inference cost.
Deep Learning for Time Series Forecasting: Tutorial and Literature Survey
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abstract
Deep learning based forecasting methods have become the methods of choice in many applications of time series prediction or forecasting often outperforming other approaches. Consequently, over the last years, these methods are now ubiquitous in large-scale industrial forecasting applications and have consistently ranked among the best entries in forecasting competitions (e.g., M4 and M5). This practical success has further increased the academic interest to understand and improve deep forecasting methods. In this article we provide an introduction and overview of the field: We present important building blocks for deep forecasting in some depth; using these building blocks, we then survey the breadth of the recent deep forecasting literature.
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cs.LG 1years
2025 1verdicts
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Winner-takes-all for Multivariate Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting
TimeMCL uses Winner-Takes-All training of multiple heads to quantize the conditional distribution of future time series, producing diverse forecasts at low inference cost.