The paper formalizes superexponential AI growth as a positive third derivative (a 'jolt') and claims a simulation-based detector can identify such jolts, though no empirical benchmark validation is provided.
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/04/ elon-musk-told-nvidia-to-ship-ai-chips-reserved-for-tesla-to-x-xai.html (2024)
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Jolting Technologies: Superexponential Acceleration in AI Capabilities and Implications for AGI
The paper formalizes superexponential AI growth as a positive third derivative (a 'jolt') and claims a simulation-based detector can identify such jolts, though no empirical benchmark validation is provided.