Effort and ability appraisals match or beat confidence in predicting LLM failures, with effort giving less overoptimistic and more stable signals across model sizes and task types.
Evaluation is using direct string match and provides the accuracy score
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Beyond Confidence: Rethinking Self-Assessments for Performance Prediction in LLMs
Effort and ability appraisals match or beat confidence in predicting LLM failures, with effort giving less overoptimistic and more stable signals across model sizes and task types.