Simulating a realistic lensed quasar population predicts about 61 high magnification events per year with amplitude above 0.3 magnitudes in the r-band, with saddle images four times more likely to host them than minima.
W., Treu, T., Bolton, A
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Simulating quasar microlensing light curves: High magnification events
Simulating a realistic lensed quasar population predicts about 61 high magnification events per year with amplitude above 0.3 magnitudes in the r-band, with saddle images four times more likely to host them than minima.