In multistage SI(k)R models, the relationship between prevalence peak and weighted stage functional maxima varies with scaling of progression rates, converging under Erlang scaling to a delay model that justifies the factor-two approximation with error bounds and corrections.
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Approximating Peak Prevalence in Multistage SIR Epidemics
In multistage SI(k)R models, the relationship between prevalence peak and weighted stage functional maxima varies with scaling of progression rates, converging under Erlang scaling to a delay model that justifies the factor-two approximation with error bounds and corrections.