Constructs QMLE for drift parameter in singular Volterra SDE with small diffusion, proving path reconstruction error O(h^{1/2}) independent of roughness α and yielding efficient estimator as ε→0.
Drift estimation for rough processes under small noise asymptotic : trajectory fitting method
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abstract
We consider a process $X^\ve$ that solves a stochastic Volterra equation with an unknown parameter $\theta^\star$ in the drift function. The Volterra kernel is singular, and includes as an example, $K\_0(u)=c u^{\alpha-1/2} \id{u>0}$ with $\alpha \in (0,1/2)$. It is assumed that the diffusion coefficient is proportional to $\ve \to 0$. From an observation of the path $(X^\ve\_s)\_{s\in[0,T]}$, we construct a Trajectory Fitting Estimator, which is shown to be consistent and asymptotically normal. We also specify identifiability conditions insuring the $L^p$ convergence of the estimator.
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Drift estimation for rough processes under small noise asymptotic : QMLE approach
Constructs QMLE for drift parameter in singular Volterra SDE with small diffusion, proving path reconstruction error O(h^{1/2}) independent of roughness α and yielding efficient estimator as ε→0.