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Inference by Multiple Identical Observers

math.PR · 2024-11-20 · accept · novelty 7.0

A new probability framework shows the Sleeping Beauty 1/3 and 1/2 answers arise from two incompatible sets of principles, with no measure satisfying all four.

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  • Inference by Multiple Identical Observers math.PR · 2024-11-20 · accept · none · ref 7

    A new probability framework shows the Sleeping Beauty 1/3 and 1/2 answers arise from two incompatible sets of principles, with no measure satisfying all four.