Using double machine learning on NSW administrative data, the paper finds that legal aid denial reduces incarceration probability by about 8-10 percentage points, apparently because private lawyers are better at keeping clients out of jail, though sentenced clients serve longer spells.
I., Guldi, M., Lindo, J
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Legal aid eligibility and court outcomes: a design-based double-machine-learning approach
Using double machine learning on NSW administrative data, the paper finds that legal aid denial reduces incarceration probability by about 8-10 percentage points, apparently because private lawyers are better at keeping clients out of jail, though sentenced clients serve longer spells.