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2026 1

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Mortality Forecasting as a Flow Field in Tucker Decomposition Space

stat.ME · 2026-03-25 · unverdicted · novelty 7.0

Mortality forecasting is recast as integrating a flow field through the low-dimensional Tucker decomposition score space of the Human Mortality Database, yielding lower bias and error than Lee-Carter, Hyndman-Ullah, or UN models in cross-validation.

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  • Mortality Forecasting as a Flow Field in Tucker Decomposition Space stat.ME · 2026-03-25 · unverdicted · none · ref 19

    Mortality forecasting is recast as integrating a flow field through the low-dimensional Tucker decomposition score space of the Human Mortality Database, yielding lower bias and error than Lee-Carter, Hyndman-Ullah, or UN models in cross-validation.