Action-outcome probabilities for rational choice can be grounded in causal models both when the causal structure is known and when it is unknown, with an extension to causal Nash Equilibrium.
Beyond covariation.Causal learning: Psychology, philosophy, and computation, pages 154–172, 2007
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Choosing with unknown causal information: Action-outcome probabilities for decision making can be grounded in causal models
Action-outcome probabilities for rational choice can be grounded in causal models both when the causal structure is known and when it is unknown, with an extension to causal Nash Equilibrium.