Active lifting of data distributions via latent-sequence sampling and max-rate uncertainty reduction formally derives slow-thinking LLMs and places them on representation and sampler hierarchies that can be climbed.
Why AI is Harder Than We Think
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abstract
Since its beginning in the 1950s, the field of artificial intelligence has cycled several times between periods of optimistic predictions and massive investment ("AI spring") and periods of disappointment, loss of confidence, and reduced funding ("AI winter"). Even with today's seemingly fast pace of AI breakthroughs, the development of long-promised technologies such as self-driving cars, housekeeping robots, and conversational companions has turned out to be much harder than many people expected. One reason for these repeating cycles is our limited understanding of the nature and complexity of intelligence itself. In this paper I describe four fallacies in common assumptions made by AI researchers, which can lead to overconfident predictions about the field. I conclude by discussing the open questions spurred by these fallacies, including the age-old challenge of imbuing machines with humanlike common sense.
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A position paper argues that post-hoc XAI explanations are unfaithful and paradoxical, proposing a shift to expert-based verification and certification of AI systems.
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A First-Principles Theory of Slow Thinking and Active Perception
Active lifting of data distributions via latent-sequence sampling and max-rate uncertainty reduction formally derives slow-thinking LLMs and places them on representation and sampler hierarchies that can be climbed.
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Beyond Explainable AI (XAI): An Overdue Paradigm Shift and Post-XAI Research Directions
A position paper argues that post-hoc XAI explanations are unfaithful and paradoxical, proposing a shift to expert-based verification and certification of AI systems.