Small LMs reach 77.1% accuracy at comparative forecasting of research idea success on benchmarks after supervised fine-tuning, with RLVR yielding interpretable reasoning at 71.35%.
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Teaching Language Models to Forecast Research Success Through Comparative Idea Evaluation
Small LMs reach 77.1% accuracy at comparative forecasting of research idea success on benchmarks after supervised fine-tuning, with RLVR yielding interpretable reasoning at 71.35%.