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Optimal Spatio-Temporal Decoupling for Bayesian Conformal Prediction

cs.LG · 2026-05-01 · unverdicted · novelty 5.0

SA-BCP achieves optimal spatio-temporal decoupling in Bayesian conformal prediction by gating temporal inertia with spatial kernel-density evidence, governed by a minimax bias-variance threshold K, and outperforms ACI and Bayesian CP baselines on financial datasets.

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  • Optimal Spatio-Temporal Decoupling for Bayesian Conformal Prediction cs.LG · 2026-05-01 · unverdicted · none · ref 22

    SA-BCP achieves optimal spatio-temporal decoupling in Bayesian conformal prediction by gating temporal inertia with spatial kernel-density evidence, governed by a minimax bias-variance threshold K, and outperforms ACI and Bayesian CP baselines on financial datasets.