A probability estimate for scalar-field homogeneity at the onset of inflation and slow contraction concludes that, after optimizing over initial spectra, inflation is vastly more likely than ekpyrosis to have the required smooth initial patch.
On the asymptotics of 3+1D cosmologies with bounded scalar potential and isometry group forming 2-dimensional orbits
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abstract
We study the onset of inflation in 3+1 dimensional cosmologies with an inflationary potential $U$ satisfying $0 < \Lambda_1 \leq U \leq \Lambda_2$, matter satisfying the dominant and strong energy conditions, and with spatial slices that can be foliated by 2-dimensional surfaces that are orbits under an isometry group. Assuming an initial Cauchy slice with positive mean curvature everywhere, we show, via mean curvature flow, that there exists a family of spatial slices parameterized by $\lambda$, whose volume grows between the flat slicings in de Sitter spaces with cosmological constants $\Lambda_1$ and $\Lambda_2$. In particular, inflationary expansion indeed occurs in this setting with inhomogeneous initial conditions. Finally, we apply this "inflationary time coordinate" $\lambda$ to study asymptotics of the variation in the metric, the average stress-energy tensor, and the dynamics of an inflaton field on a spatial slice.
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Probability of the Initial Conditions for Inflation and Slow Contraction
A probability estimate for scalar-field homogeneity at the onset of inflation and slow contraction concludes that, after optimizing over initial spectra, inflation is vastly more likely than ekpyrosis to have the required smooth initial patch.