A model-agnostic two-stage estimator links high-fidelity quantiles to low-fidelity ones via a covariate-dependent level function for faster convergence and better accuracy with limited high-fidelity data.
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StCP leverages transfer learning to stabilize the size of conformal prediction sets without additional target labels.
SA-BCP achieves optimal spatio-temporal decoupling in Bayesian conformal prediction by gating temporal inertia with spatial kernel-density evidence, governed by a minimax bias-variance threshold K, and outperforms ACI and Bayesian CP baselines on financial datasets.
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Multi-Fidelity Quantile Regression
A model-agnostic two-stage estimator links high-fidelity quantiles to low-fidelity ones via a covariate-dependent level function for faster convergence and better accuracy with limited high-fidelity data.
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Stable Localized Conformal Prediction via Transduction
StCP leverages transfer learning to stabilize the size of conformal prediction sets without additional target labels.
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Optimal Spatio-Temporal Decoupling for Bayesian Conformal Prediction
SA-BCP achieves optimal spatio-temporal decoupling in Bayesian conformal prediction by gating temporal inertia with spatial kernel-density evidence, governed by a minimax bias-variance threshold K, and outperforms ACI and Bayesian CP baselines on financial datasets.
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