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The incompatibility follows from a Bayes coupling identity relating predictive values, base rates, and the likelihood ratio TPRg/FPRg

shows that in binary settings, when two groups have different base rates,πg =P(Y= 1|G=g) , predictive parity, i

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On the Burden of Achieving Fairness in Conformal Prediction

stat.ML · 2026-05-14 · unverdicted · novelty 6.0

Pooled conformal calibration incurs irreducible group-wise coverage distortion scaled by cross-group quantile heterogeneity, with Equalized Coverage and Equalized Set Size in fundamental tension.

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  • On the Burden of Achieving Fairness in Conformal Prediction stat.ML · 2026-05-14 · unverdicted · none · ref 32

    Pooled conformal calibration incurs irreducible group-wise coverage distortion scaled by cross-group quantile heterogeneity, with Equalized Coverage and Equalized Set Size in fundamental tension.