Aurora, a foundation model fine-tuned for air quality, captures rough NOx–ozone coupling but lacks the chemical consistency and emission-plume fidelity of process-based models.
Machine learning for climate physics and simulations
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abstract
We discuss the emerging advances and opportunities at the intersection of machine learning (ML) and climate physics, highlighting the use of ML techniques, including supervised, unsupervised, and equation discovery, to accelerate climate knowledge discoveries and simulations. We delineate two distinct yet complementary aspects: (1) ML for climate physics and (2) ML for climate simulations. While physics-free ML-based models, such as ML-based weather forecasting, have demonstrated success when data is abundant and stationary, the physics knowledge and interpretability of ML models become crucial in the small-data/non-stationary regime to ensure generalizability. Given the absence of observations, the long-term future climate falls into the small-data regime. Therefore, ML for climate physics holds a critical role in addressing the challenges of ML for climate simulations. We emphasize the need for collaboration among climate physics, ML theory, and numerical analysis to achieve reliable ML-based models for climate applications.
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Toward Mechanistic Interpretability of an AI Foundation Model Fine-Tuned for Atmospheric Chemistry
Aurora, a foundation model fine-tuned for air quality, captures rough NOx–ozone coupling but lacks the chemical consistency and emission-plume fidelity of process-based models.