Simulation study and Ethiopian cohort data show that particle MCMC and conditional normalizing flows both deliver accurate parameter estimates and forecasts for stochastic compartmental epidemic models with intractable likelihoods.
Comparisons of viral shedding time of SARS-CoV-2 of different samples in ICU and non- ICU patients.The Journal of infection, 81(1):147, 2020
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Assessment of Simulation-based Inference Methods for Stochastic Compartmental Models in Epidemiological Research
Simulation study and Ethiopian cohort data show that particle MCMC and conditional normalizing flows both deliver accurate parameter estimates and forecasts for stochastic compartmental epidemic models with intractable likelihoods.