Daily Oracle shows that LLM forecasting accuracy degrades smoothly over time as pretraining data becomes outdated, and retrieval augmented generation only partially offsets the decline.
Please focus more on what happened rather than the implications after the event
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Are LLMs Prescient? A Continuous Evaluation using Daily News as the Oracle
Daily Oracle shows that LLM forecasting accuracy degrades smoothly over time as pretraining data becomes outdated, and retrieval augmented generation only partially offsets the decline.