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2023 1

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Forecasting with Feedback

econ.TH · 2023-08-29 · unverdicted · novelty 6.0

Policy feedback can produce optimal bias in quadratic-loss forecasts when forecasters face uncertainty about how policymakers will react to the forecast.

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  • Forecasting with Feedback econ.TH · 2023-08-29 · unverdicted · none · ref 2

    Policy feedback can produce optimal bias in quadratic-loss forecasts when forecasters face uncertainty about how policymakers will react to the forecast.