Evidence markets generalize prediction markets via a dynamic logarithmic market scoring rule that rewards evidence proportional to uncertainty, bounds platform loss, and makes truthful reporting an ε-DSIC strategy even under endogenous resolution.
arXiv preprint arXiv:2502.13410 , year=
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Evidence Markets
Evidence markets generalize prediction markets via a dynamic logarithmic market scoring rule that rewards evidence proportional to uncertainty, bounds platform loss, and makes truthful reporting an ε-DSIC strategy even under endogenous resolution.