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A general volume-parameterized market making framework

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2025 1

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Smooth Quadratic Prediction Markets

cs.LG · 2025-05-05 · conditional · novelty 6.0

A new prediction-market pricing rule, the Smooth Quadratic Prediction Market, replaces the Bregman fee with a quadratic fee, preserves the main DCFMM axioms, and makes traders collectively perform steepest descent toward their beliefs.

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  • Smooth Quadratic Prediction Markets cs.LG · 2025-05-05 · conditional · none · ref 2

    A new prediction-market pricing rule, the Smooth Quadratic Prediction Market, replaces the Bregman fee with a quadratic fee, preserves the main DCFMM axioms, and makes traders collectively perform steepest descent toward their beliefs.