A review of solar cycle predictions shows most methods failed for cycles 24 and 25, with polar field proxies most reliable when timed after the previous cycle's maximum and dynamo models needing better data assimilation.
J.792(2):142, DOI 10.1088/0004-637X/792/2/142,1408.0035 Upton LA, Hathaway DH (2018a) An Updated Solar Cycle 25 Prediction With AFT: The Modern Minimum
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Solar Cycle Prediction: Challenges, Progress, and Future Perspectives
A review of solar cycle predictions shows most methods failed for cycles 24 and 25, with polar field proxies most reliable when timed after the previous cycle's maximum and dynamo models needing better data assimilation.