Mini-Mafia supplies an analytical model logit(p) = v*(m-d) for mafia win probability in LLM role interactions and uses Bayesian inference to estimate per-model parameters that predict tournament results with 76.6% Brier-score improvement over random.
Strategy adaptation in large language model werewolf agents
1 Pith paper cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
1
Pith paper citing it
fields
cs.AI 1years
2025 1verdicts
UNVERDICTED 1representative citing papers
citing papers explorer
-
Deceive, Detect, and Disclose: Large Language Models Play Mini-Mafia
Mini-Mafia supplies an analytical model logit(p) = v*(m-d) for mafia win probability in LLM role interactions and uses Bayesian inference to estimate per-model parameters that predict tournament results with 76.6% Brier-score improvement over random.