A compartmental model of Black Sigatoka exhibits backward bifurcation due to dual transmission and mate limitation, so the disease can remain endemic even when R0 is less than 1, requiring controls beyond reproduction-number reduction.
An exploration of modeling approaches for capturing seasonal trans- mission in stochastic epidemic models
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The Curse of Black Sigatoka: A Backward Bifurcation Perspective
A compartmental model of Black Sigatoka exhibits backward bifurcation due to dual transmission and mate limitation, so the disease can remain endemic even when R0 is less than 1, requiring controls beyond reproduction-number reduction.