Models trained on individual judges' past child-custody rulings predict those judges' future rulings better than a model trained on all judges together, a result the paper reads as support for legal realism.
Swiss-Judgment-Prediction: A Multilingual Legal Judgment Prediction Benchmark
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abstract
In many jurisdictions, the excessive workload of courts leads to high delays. Suitable predictive AI models can assist legal professionals in their work, and thus enhance and speed up the process. So far, Legal Judgment Prediction (LJP) datasets have been released in English, French, and Chinese. We publicly release a multilingual (German, French, and Italian), diachronic (2000-2020) corpus of 85K cases from the Federal Supreme Court of Switzerland (FSCS). We evaluate state-of-the-art BERT-based methods including two variants of BERT that overcome the BERT input (text) length limitation (up to 512 tokens). Hierarchical BERT has the best performance (approx. 68-70% Macro-F1-Score in German and French). Furthermore, we study how several factors (canton of origin, year of publication, text length, legal area) affect performance. We release both the benchmark dataset and our code to accelerate future research and ensure reproducibility.
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The Judge Variable: Challenging Judge-Agnostic Legal Judgment Prediction
Models trained on individual judges' past child-custody rulings predict those judges' future rulings better than a model trained on all judges together, a result the paper reads as support for legal realism.