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RandALO: Out-of-sample risk estimation in no time flat

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abstract

Estimating out-of-sample risk for models trained on large high-dimensional datasets is an expensive but essential part of the machine learning process, enabling practitioners to optimally tune hyperparameters. Cross-validation (CV) serves as the de facto standard for risk estimation but poorly trades off high bias ($K$-fold CV) for computational cost (leave-one-out CV). We propose a randomized approximate leave-one-out (RandALO) risk estimator that is not only a consistent estimator of risk in high dimensions but also less computationally expensive than $K$-fold CV. We support our claims with extensive simulations on synthetic and real data and provide a user-friendly Python package implementing RandALO available on PyPI as randalo and at https://github.com/cvxgrp/randalo.

fields

cs.LG 1

years

2025 1

verdicts

CONDITIONAL 1

representative citing papers

MAGIC: Near-Optimal Data Attribution for Deep Learning

cs.LG · 2025-04-23 · conditional · novelty 6.0

MAGIC computes the exact influence function for smooth, deterministic deep learning training runs and achieves near-perfect linear datamodeling scores on CIFAR-10, GPT-2, and Gemma-2B, far outperforming TRAK and EK-FAC.

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  • MAGIC: Near-Optimal Data Attribution for Deep Learning cs.LG · 2025-04-23 · conditional · none · ref 15 · internal anchor

    MAGIC computes the exact influence function for smooth, deterministic deep learning training runs and achieves near-perfect linear datamodeling scores on CIFAR-10, GPT-2, and Gemma-2B, far outperforming TRAK and EK-FAC.