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arxiv: 0808.2424 · v1 · submitted 2008-08-18 · 🧮 math.PR · q-bio.QM

The age incidence of any cancer can be explained by a one-mutation model

classification 🧮 math.PR q-bio.QM
keywords mutationcancerratemodeltimeantiderivativeconstantcumulative
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We propose a one mutation model for cancer with a mutation rate that increases with time. Under rather general hypotheses the number of mutations is necessarily a (non homogeneous) Poisson process with the prescribed mutation rate. We show that the cumulative probability of cancer up to time $t$ is, up to a multiplicative constant, an antiderivative of the mutation rate.

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