Exact boundaries in sequential testing for phase-type distributions
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We consider Wald's sequential probability ratio test for deciding whether a sequence of independent and identically distributed observations comes from a specified phase-type distribution or from an exponentially tilted alternative distribution. In this setting, we derive exact decision boundaries for given Type I and Type II errors by establishing a link with ruin theory. Information on the mean sample size of the test can be retrieved as well. The approach relies on the use of matrix-valued scale functions associated to a certain one-sided Markov additive process. By suitable transformations the results also apply to other types of distributions including some distributions with regularly varying tail.
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