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arxiv: 1402.7093 · v1 · pith:3MX6JQ5Vnew · submitted 2014-02-27 · 🧮 math.PR

Joint Hitting-Time Densities for Finite State Markov Processes

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keywords finiteprocessstateformulasgammajointmarkovtimes
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For a finite state Markov process and a finite collection $\{ \Gamma_k, k \in K \}$ of subsets of its state space, let $\tau_k$ be the first time the process visits the set $\Gamma_k$. We derive explicit/recursive formulas for the joint density and tail probabilities of the stopping times $\{ \tau_k, k \in K\}$. The formulas are natural generalizations of those associated with the jump times of a simple Poisson process. We give a numerical example and indicate the relevance of our results to credit risk modeling.

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