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arxiv: 1502.02536 · v3 · pith:YB4XZYEVnew · submitted 2015-02-09 · 📊 stat.CO · stat.ME· stat.ML

Nested Sequential Monte Carlo Methods

classification 📊 stat.CO stat.MEstat.ML
keywords nsmchigh-dimensionalalgorithmcarlodistributionmontenestedproperly
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We propose nested sequential Monte Carlo (NSMC), a methodology to sample from sequences of probability distributions, even where the random variables are high-dimensional. NSMC generalises the SMC framework by requiring only approximate, properly weighted, samples from the SMC proposal distribution, while still resulting in a correct SMC algorithm. Furthermore, NSMC can in itself be used to produce such properly weighted samples. Consequently, one NSMC sampler can be used to construct an efficient high-dimensional proposal distribution for another NSMC sampler, and this nesting of the algorithm can be done to an arbitrary degree. This allows us to consider complex and high-dimensional models using SMC. We show results that motivate the efficacy of our approach on several filtering problems with dimensions in the order of 100 to 1 000.

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