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arxiv: 1510.07415 · v1 · pith:QSPF64QQnew · submitted 2015-10-26 · 🧬 q-bio.PE

Assessing the Efficiency of textit{Cordon Sanitaire} as a Control Strategy of Ebola

classification 🧬 q-bio.PE
keywords communitiesdiseasedynamicsebolamovementrestrictionstextitareas
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We formulate a two-patch mathematical model for Ebola Virus Disease dynamics in order to evaluate the effectiveness of \textit{cordons sanitaires}, mandatory movement restrictions between communities while exploring their role on disease dynamics and final epidemic size. Simulations show that severe restrictions in movement between high and low risk areas of closely linked communities may have a deleterious impact on the overall levels of infection in the total population.

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